Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Silvestre Sanchez vs Liam McCracken

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Silvestre Sanchezby KO/TKO57% to win · closed +112
Result: Silvestre Sanchez by KO/TKO in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Liam McCracken
42% +136
Silvestre Sanchez
58% -136
How it ends
McCracken by KO/TKO
19.1%
fair +424
McCracken by SUB
6.7%
fair +1396
McCracken by DEC
16.6%
fair +502
Sanchez by KO/TKO
36.0%
fair +178
Sanchez by SUB
9.5%
fair +957
Sanchez by DEC
12.2%
fair +723

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R138.5%fair +160
Ends in R221.2%fair +373
Ends in R311.6%fair +760
Goes distance28.8%fair +248
How this fight plays out

The model makes Sanchez a narrow 58% favorite. Sanchez is most dangerous early — 4 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Sanchez's most likely path is by KO/TKO (36%), and the fight goes the distance 29% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.