Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Nursulton Ruziboev vs Michael Page

3:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Nursulton Ruziboevby KO/TKO53% to win · closed +180
Result: Michael Page by DEC in Round 3 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Michael Page
34% +191
Nursulton Ruziboev
66% -191
How it ends
Page by KO/TKO
2.1%
fair +4557
Page by SUB
1.2%
fair +8451
Page by DEC
31.1%
fair +222
Ruziboev by KO/TKO
28.1%
fair +256
Ruziboev by SUB
12.3%
fair +711
Ruziboev by DEC
25.2%
fair +296

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R123.6%fair +324
Ends in R213.0%fair +670
Ends in R37.1%fair +1301
Goes distance56.3%fair -129
How this fight plays out

The model makes Ruziboev a solid 66% favorite. Striking volume is near even (2.5 vs 2.8 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Ruziboev is most dangerous early — 9 of 11 tracked wins ended in the first round. Ruziboev's most likely path is by KO/TKO (28%), and the fight goes the distance 56% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.