Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor Peek

3:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Kurtis Campbellby DEC70% to win · closed -380
Result: Kurtis Campbell by SUB in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Trevor Peek
34% +197
Kurtis Campbell
66% -197
How it ends
Peek by KO/TKO
17.4%
fair +474
Peek by SUB
2.5%
fair +3962
Peek by DEC
13.8%
fair +623
Campbell by KO/TKO
10.7%
fair +831
Campbell by SUB
18.7%
fair +436
Campbell by DEC
36.9%
fair +171

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R126.6%fair +276
Ends in R214.6%fair +583
Ends in R38.0%fair +1143
Goes distance50.7%fair -103
How this fight plays out

The model makes Campbell a solid 66% favorite. Expect Campbell to chase the takedown (3.7/15 min at 40%) while Peek tries to keep it standing behind 54% takedown defense. Campbell is most dangerous early — 4 of 9 tracked wins ended in the first round. Campbell's most likely path is on the scorecards (37%), and the fight goes the distance 51% of the time. The live danger for Campbell: 89% of Peek's wins come by knockout and 100% of Campbell's losses have come the same way.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.