Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Sean Clancy Jr. vs Gary Balletto

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Sean Clancy Jr.by KO/TKO72% to win · closed -1100
Result: Sean Clancy Jr. by KO/TKO in Round 2 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Gary Balletto
39% +155
Sean Clancy Jr.
61% -155
How it ends
Balletto by KO/TKO
18.3%
fair +445
Balletto by SUB
12.9%
fair +675
Balletto by DEC
7.9%
fair +1163
Jr. by KO/TKO
45.0%
fair +122
Jr. by SUB
8.8%
fair +1034
Jr. by DEC
7.0%
fair +1325

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R145.9%fair +118
Ends in R225.3%fair +296
Ends in R313.9%fair +620
Goes distance14.9%fair +570
How this fight plays out

The model makes Jr. a solid 61% favorite. Jr. is most dangerous early — 5 of 9 tracked wins ended in the first round. Jr.'s most likely path is by KO/TKO (45%), and the fight goes the distance 15% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.