Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Alexis Miranda vs Ronald Humphrey

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Ronald Humphreyby DEC73% to win · closed -1100
Result: Ronald Humphrey by SUB in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Ronald Humphrey
57% -133
Alexis Miranda
43% +133
How it ends
Humphrey by KO/TKO
17.6%
fair +468
Humphrey by SUB
13.5%
fair +639
Humphrey by DEC
25.9%
fair +286
Miranda by KO/TKO
12.7%
fair +688
Miranda by SUB
8.4%
fair +1090
Miranda by DEC
21.9%
fair +357

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R128.2%fair +255
Ends in R215.5%fair +545
Ends in R38.5%fair +1072
Goes distance47.8%fair +109
How this fight plays out

The model makes Humphrey a narrow 57% favorite. Humphrey is most dangerous early — 4 of 5 tracked wins ended in the first round. Humphrey's most likely path is on the scorecards (26%), and the fight goes the distance 48% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.