Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Nick Galanti vs Carlos Petruzzella

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Nick Galantiby KO/TKO58% to win · closed -215
Result: Nick Galanti by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Carlos Petruzzella
44% +130
Nick Galanti
56% -130
How it ends
Petruzzella by KO/TKO
23.1%
fair +333
Petruzzella by SUB
7.0%
fair +1329
Petruzzella by DEC
13.4%
fair +645
Galanti by KO/TKO
31.2%
fair +221
Galanti by SUB
12.2%
fair +721
Galanti by DEC
13.1%
fair +663

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R139.7%fair +152
Ends in R221.8%fair +358
Ends in R312.0%fair +734
Goes distance26.5%fair +277
How this fight plays out

The model makes Galanti a narrow 56% favorite. Galanti is most dangerous early — 4 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Galanti's most likely path is by KO/TKO (31%), and the fight goes the distance 27% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.