Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Salahdine Parnasse vs Dan Hooker

3:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Salahdine Parnasseby KO/TKO74% to win · closed -465
Result: Salahdine Parnasse by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Dan Hooker
20% +406
Salahdine Parnasse
80% -406
How it ends
Hooker by KO/TKO
6.7%
fair +1403
Hooker by SUB
0.7%
fair +14952
Hooker by DEC
12.5%
fair +702
Parnasse by KO/TKO
64.8%
fair -184
Parnasse by SUB
4.0%
fair +2374
Parnasse by DEC
11.4%
fair +778

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R135.0%fair +186
Ends in R219.3%fair +419
Ends in R310.6%fair +844
Ends in R47.3%fair +1273
Ends in R54.0%fair +2397
Goes distance23.9%fair +319
How this fight plays out

The model makes Parnasse a clear 80% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.8 vs 4.2 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Parnasse's most likely path is by KO/TKO (65%), and the fight goes the distance 24% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk. The live danger for Parnasse: 46% of Hooker's wins come by knockout and 50% of Parnasse's losses have come the same way.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.