Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Andre Lima vs Namsrai Batbayar

3:00 AM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Andre Limaby DEC62% to win · closed -245
Result: Andre Lima by SUB in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Namsrai Batbayar
38% +160
Andre Lima
62% -160
How it ends
Batbayar by KO/TKO
14.0%
fair +615
Batbayar by SUB
9.2%
fair +990
Batbayar by DEC
15.3%
fair +554
Lima by KO/TKO
4.0%
fair +2381
Lima by SUB
35.1%
fair +185
Lima by DEC
22.4%
fair +346

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R133.6%fair +198
Ends in R218.5%fair +441
Ends in R310.2%fair +884
Goes distance37.7%fair +165
How this fight plays out

The model makes Lima a solid 62% favorite. Batbayar is most dangerous early — 6 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Lima's most likely path is by submission (35%), and the fight goes the distance 38% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.