Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson

3:00 AM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Jack Jenkinsby DEC52% to win · closed +130
Result: Sean Woodson by DEC in Round 3 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Sean Woodson
54% -117
Jack Jenkins
46% +117
How it ends
Woodson by KO/TKO
12.9%
fair +676
Woodson by SUB
6.0%
fair +1579
Woodson by DEC
35.0%
fair +186
Jenkins by KO/TKO
16.5%
fair +505
Jenkins by SUB
4.6%
fair +2086
Jenkins by DEC
25.0%
fair +300

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R121.6%fair +364
Ends in R211.9%fair +743
Ends in R36.5%fair +1433
Goes distance60.0%fair -150
How this fight plays out

The model makes Woodson a narrow 54% favorite. Expect Jenkins to chase the takedown (1.9/15 min at 60%) while Woodson tries to keep it standing behind 81% takedown defense. Woodson's most likely path is on the scorecards (35%), and the fight goes the distance 60% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.