Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz

5:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Wes Schultzby SUB53% to win · closed +156
Result: Jackson McVey by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Wes Schultz
57% -134
Jackson McVey
43% +134
How it ends
Schultz by KO/TKO
5.8%
fair +1624
Schultz by SUB
45.9%
fair +118
Schultz by DEC
5.5%
fair +1715
McVey by KO/TKO
26.7%
fair +275
McVey by SUB
8.6%
fair +1060
McVey by DEC
7.5%
fair +1234

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R147.0%fair +113
Ends in R225.8%fair +287
Ends in R314.2%fair +604
Goes distance13.0%fair +669
How this fight plays out

The model makes Schultz a narrow 57% favorite. Expect Schultz to chase the takedown (2.0/15 min at 21%) while McVey tries to keep it standing behind 0% takedown defense. Schultz is most dangerous early — 5 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Schultz's most likely path is by submission (46%), and the fight goes the distance 13% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.