Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed

5:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Shanelle Dyerby KO/TKO75% to win · closed -700
Result: Shanelle Dyer by KO/TKO in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Elise Reed
27% +266
Shanelle Dyer
73% -266
How it ends
Reed by KO/TKO
2.1%
fair +4619
Reed by SUB
2.1%
fair +4619
Reed by DEC
23.1%
fair +333
Dyer by KO/TKO
45.3%
fair +121
Dyer by SUB
8.8%
fair +1036
Dyer by DEC
18.5%
fair +439

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R131.5%fair +217
Ends in R217.3%fair +477
Ends in R39.5%fair +949
Goes distance41.6%fair +140
How this fight plays out

The model makes Dyer a clear 73% favorite. On the feet, Dyer sets the tempo — 6.2 significant strikes a minute to 3.5 — so Reed needs moments, not volume. Dyer's most likely path is by KO/TKO (45%), and the fight goes the distance 42% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.