Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Namo Fazil vs Kaik Brito

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Kaik Britoby KO/TKO51% to win · closed +155
Result: Kaik Brito by KO/TKO in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Kaik Brito
53% -111
Namo Fazil
47% +111
How it ends
Brito by KO/TKO
45.6%
fair +120
Brito by SUB
1.9%
fair +5239
Brito by DEC
5.3%
fair +1798
Fazil by KO/TKO
18.8%
fair +433
Fazil by SUB
8.4%
fair +1089
Fazil by DEC
20.1%
fair +396

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R140.3%fair +148
Ends in R222.1%fair +352
Ends in R312.2%fair +721
Goes distance25.4%fair +294
How this fight plays out

The model makes Brito a narrow 53% favorite. Brito is most dangerous early — 5 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Brito's most likely path is by KO/TKO (46%), and the fight goes the distance 25% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.