Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Taner Trembley vs Roman Puga

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Taner Trembleyby KO/TKO51% to win · closed +136
Result: Roman Puga by DEC in Round 3 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Roman Puga
48% +106
Taner Trembley
52% -106
How it ends
Puga by KO/TKO
18.5%
fair +442
Puga by SUB
4.3%
fair +2227
Puga by DEC
25.7%
fair +289
Trembley by KO/TKO
22.6%
fair +343
Trembley by SUB
15.9%
fair +529
Trembley by DEC
13.0%
fair +667

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R133.1%fair +203
Ends in R218.2%fair +450
Ends in R310.0%fair +900
Goes distance38.8%fair +158
How this fight plays out

The model makes Trembley a narrow 52% favorite. Trembley is most dangerous early — 4 of 7 tracked wins ended in the first round. Trembley's most likely path is by KO/TKO (23%), and the fight goes the distance 39% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.