Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Matt Adams vs Anthony Wint

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Anthony Wintby KO/TKO71% to win · closed -1163
Result: Anthony Wint by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Anthony Wint
81% -435
Matt Adams
19% +435
How it ends
Wint by KO/TKO
56.2%
fair -128
Wint by SUB
17.0%
fair +490
Wint by DEC
8.1%
fair +1130
Adams by KO/TKO
11.5%
fair +768
Adams by SUB
2.0%
fair +4824
Adams by DEC
5.2%
fair +1837

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R146.8%fair +114
Ends in R225.7%fair +288
Ends in R314.2%fair +606
Goes distance13.3%fair +652
How this fight plays out

The model makes Wint a clear 81% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.0 vs 4.0 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Wint is most dangerous early — 5 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Wint's most likely path is by KO/TKO (56%), and the fight goes the distance 13% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.