Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Mridul Saikia vs Bilal Hasan

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Bilal Hasanby KO/TKO75% to win · closed -2941
Result: Bilal Hasan by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Bilal Hasan
84% -508
Mridul Saikia
16% +508
How it ends
Hasan by KO/TKO
66.6%
fair -199
Hasan by SUB
8.6%
fair +1063
Hasan by DEC
8.4%
fair +1097
Saikia by KO/TKO
6.1%
fair +1531
Saikia by SUB
5.5%
fair +1709
Saikia by DEC
4.8%
fair +1982

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R146.9%fair +113
Ends in R225.8%fair +288
Ends in R314.2%fair +605
Goes distance13.2%fair +660
How this fight plays out

The model makes Hasan a clear 84% favorite. On the feet, Hasan sets the tempo — 5.3 significant strikes a minute to 4.2 — so Saikia needs moments, not volume. Hasan is most dangerous early — 4 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Hasan's most likely path is by KO/TKO (67%), and the fight goes the distance 13% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.