Gianni Vazquez vs Miles Johns
5:00 PM ET· finalModel pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Miles Johnsby DEC56% to win · closed -104
Result: Miles Johns by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Miles Johns
54% -117
Gianni Vazquez
46% +117
How it ends
Johns by KO/TKO
15.0%
fair +567
Johns by SUB
3.8%
fair +2517
Johns by DEC
35.1%
fair +185
Vazquez by KO/TKO
18.3%
fair +445
Vazquez by SUB
11.9%
fair +742
Vazquez by DEC
15.8%
fair +532
“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.
When it ends
Ends in R126.5%fair +278
Ends in R214.6%fair +587
Ends in R38.0%fair +1149
Goes distance51.0%fair -104
How this fight plays out
The model makes Johns a narrow 54% favorite. Striking volume is near even (3.3 vs 2.8 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Johns's most likely path is on the scorecards (35%), and the fight goes the distance 51% of the time.
Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.