Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Ramiz Brahimaj vs Neil Magny

5:30 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Ramiz Brahimajby SUB69% to win · closed -145
Result: Neil Magny by KO/TKO in Round 2 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Neil Magny
34% +191
Ramiz Brahimaj
66% -191
How it ends
Magny by KO/TKO
20.6%
fair +386
Magny by SUB
5.7%
fair +1644
Magny by DEC
8.1%
fair +1133
Brahimaj by KO/TKO
19.4%
fair +414
Brahimaj by SUB
39.6%
fair +153
Brahimaj by DEC
6.6%
fair +1425

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R146.1%fair +117
Ends in R225.3%fair +295
Ends in R313.9%fair +618
Goes distance14.7%fair +582
How this fight plays out

The model makes Brahimaj a solid 66% favorite. Striking volume is near even (2.8 vs 2.5 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Brahimaj is most dangerous early — 5 of 6 tracked wins ended in the first round. Brahimaj's most likely path is by submission (40%), and the fight goes the distance 15% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.