Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Billy Ray Goff vs Ty Miller

5:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Ty Millerby DEC62% to win
Result: Ty Miller by KO/TKO in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Ty Miller
81% -414
Billy Ray Goff
19% +414
How it ends
Miller by KO/TKO
40.8%
fair +145
Miller by SUB
7.1%
fair +1312
Miller by DEC
32.7%
fair +206
Goff by KO/TKO
13.3%
fair +651
Goff by SUB
1.7%
fair +5649
Goff by DEC
4.4%
fair +2176

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R134.0%fair +194
Ends in R218.7%fair +435
Ends in R310.3%fair +873
Goes distance37.1%fair +170
How this fight plays out

The model makes Miller a clear 81% favorite. On the feet, Miller sets the tempo — 7.5 significant strikes a minute to 5.5 — so Goff needs moments, not volume. Goff is most dangerous early — 4 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Miller's most likely path is by KO/TKO (41%), and the fight goes the distance 37% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.