Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Ravena Oliveira vs Juliana Miller

5:00 PM ET· final
Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Juliana Millerby DEC60% to win · closed -300
Result: Juliana Miller by SUB in Round 2 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Juliana Miller
67% -203
Ravena Oliveira
33% +203
How it ends
Miller by KO/TKO
5.5%
fair +1725
Miller by SUB
42.7%
fair +134
Miller by DEC
18.8%
fair +431
Oliveira by KO/TKO
17.7%
fair +466
Oliveira by SUB
1.9%
fair +5078
Oliveira by DEC
13.4%
fair +646

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R136.6%fair +173
Ends in R220.1%fair +397
Ends in R311.1%fair +804
Goes distance32.2%fair +210
How this fight plays out

The model makes Miller a solid 67% favorite. Expect Miller to chase the takedown (2.2/15 min at 31%) while Oliveira tries to keep it standing behind 47% takedown defense. Oliveira is most dangerous early — 4 of 7 tracked wins ended in the first round. Miller's most likely path is by submission (43%), and the fight goes the distance 32% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.