Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Daniel Rodriguez vs Uroš Medić

1:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Uroš Medićby KO/TKO68% to win · closed -355
Result: Uroš Medić by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Uroš Medić
72% -252
Daniel Rodriguez
28% +252
How it ends
Medić by KO/TKO
57.5%
fair -135
Medić by SUB
4.3%
fair +2234
Medić by DEC
9.9%
fair +914
Rodriguez by KO/TKO
10.0%
fair +896
Rodriguez by SUB
2.2%
fair +4488
Rodriguez by DEC
16.2%
fair +518

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R134.0%fair +194
Ends in R218.7%fair +435
Ends in R310.3%fair +872
Ends in R47.1%fair +1314
Ends in R53.9%fair +2471
Goes distance26.0%fair +284
How this fight plays out

The model makes Medić a clear 72% favorite. Rodriguez will out-work him on volume (6.5 vs 5.4/min) — Medić's route is a finish, not a points battle. Medić is most dangerous early — 7 of 9 tracked wins ended in the first round. Medić's most likely path is by KO/TKO (57%), and the fight goes the distance 26% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.