Gilbert Urbina vs Vlasto Čepo
1:00 PM ET· final“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.
The model makes Urbina a solid 58% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.3 vs 3.5 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Urbina is most dangerous early — 3 of 7 tracked wins ended in the first round. Urbina's most likely path is by KO/TKO (47%), and the fight goes the distance 10% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk. The live danger for Urbina: 71% of Čepo's wins come by knockout and 60% of Urbina's losses have come the same way.
Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.