Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Abdul Hussein vs Cody Gibson

9:00 AM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Abdul Husseinby SUB81% to win · closed -456
Result: Abdul Hussein by SUB in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Cody Gibson
22% +358
Abdul Hussein
78% -358
How it ends
Gibson by KO/TKO
1.1%
fair +9237
Gibson by SUB
10.5%
fair +854
Gibson by DEC
10.3%
fair +872
Hussein by KO/TKO
18.5%
fair +441
Hussein by SUB
43.2%
fair +132
Hussein by DEC
16.5%
fair +507

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R139.5%fair +153
Ends in R221.7%fair +360
Ends in R312.0%fair +736
Goes distance26.8%fair +274
How this fight plays out

The model makes Hussein a clear 78% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.2 vs 4.5 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Hussein is most dangerous early — 8 of 11 tracked wins ended in the first round. Hussein's most likely path is by submission (43%), and the fight goes the distance 27% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.