Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Damian Rzepecki vs Magomed Zaynukov

5:00 AM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Magomed Zaynukovby DEC57% to win · closed -335
Result: Magomed Zaynukov by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Magomed Zaynukov
69% -218
Damian Rzepecki
31% +218
How it ends
Zaynukov by KO/TKO
15.2%
fair +558
Zaynukov by SUB
5.0%
fair +1897
Zaynukov by DEC
48.4%
fair +107
Rzepecki by KO/TKO
14.5%
fair +588
Rzepecki by SUB
5.2%
fair +1805
Rzepecki by DEC
11.6%
fair +759

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R121.6%fair +363
Ends in R211.9%fair +742
Ends in R36.5%fair +1431
Goes distance60.0%fair -150
How this fight plays out

The model makes Zaynukov a solid 69% favorite. On the feet, Zaynukov sets the tempo — 8.3 significant strikes a minute to 2.6 — so Rzepecki needs moments, not volume. Zaynukov's most likely path is on the scorecards (48%), and the fight goes the distance 60% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.