Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Tyrell Fortune vs Rizvan Kuniev

12:00 PM ET· final
Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Rizvan Kunievby KO/TKO60% to win · closed -278
Result: Rizvan Kuniev by KO/TKO in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Rizvan Kuniev
64% -179
Tyrell Fortune
36% +179
How it ends
Kuniev by KO/TKO
43.7%
fair +129
Kuniev by SUB
11.4%
fair +776
Kuniev by DEC
9.1%
fair +998
Fortune by KO/TKO
14.4%
fair +594
Fortune by SUB
1.3%
fair +7451
Fortune by DEC
20.1%
fair +398

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R138.2%fair +162
Ends in R221.0%fair +376
Ends in R311.6%fair +765
Goes distance29.2%fair +242
How this fight plays out

The model makes Kuniev a solid 64% favorite. On the feet, Kuniev sets the tempo — 4.3 significant strikes a minute to 2.7 — so Fortune needs moments, not volume. Kuniev is most dangerous early — 4 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Kuniev's most likely path is by KO/TKO (44%), and the fight goes the distance 29% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.