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7:00 PM ET
Mateus Soares and Ryuho Miyaguchi meet at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9 on Oct 6, 2026. The sportsbooks give Mateus Soares a 77% chance and Ryuho Miyaguchi a 23% chance, margin removed. The model's winner call for this game, locked before the start and graded in public, is part of Pro; the model's record is always free.
The sportsbooks' no-vig chance for each side, from 5 books. This is the market's number, free on the data page; it is not the model's call.
Mateus Soares 77%Ryuho Miyaguchi 23%
The fighter listed first is on the left.
Where sportsbooks price a bout, the published win chance is the market's no-vig price with no model weight added; the model decides only unpriced bouts. Pro adds the model's own read of how and when the fight ends (method and round odds) and where it differs from the market.
Who the model picks and how sure it is
Decision, knockout or submission, and when
What the numbers say about how the fight plays out
Where the model and the books disagree, and by how much
Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.