Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Alvin Hines vs RJ Harris

5:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
RJ Harrisby DEC73% to win · closed +108
Result: RJ Harris by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
RJ Harris
81% -435
Alvin Hines
19% +435
How it ends
Harris by KO/TKO
43.0%
fair +132
Harris by SUB
17.2%
fair +480
Harris by DEC
21.0%
fair +375
Hines by KO/TKO
11.4%
fair +778
Hines by SUB
4.2%
fair +2280
Hines by DEC
3.1%
fair +3137

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R141.0%fair +144
Ends in R222.5%fair +344
Ends in R312.4%fair +707
Goes distance24.1%fair +314
How this fight plays out

The model makes Harris a clear 81% favorite. Striking volume is near even (4.6 vs 4.9 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Harris is most dangerous early — 3 of 6 tracked wins ended in the first round. Harris's most likely path is by KO/TKO (43%), and the fight goes the distance 24% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.