Probetrics — Sports Analytics

Mitch Ramirez vs Chase Hooper

8:00 PM ET· final
Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Chase Hooperby KO/TKO81% to win · closed -335
Result: Chase Hooper by SUB in Round 1 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Chase Hooper
82% -442
Mitch Ramirez
18% +442
How it ends
Hooper by KO/TKO
8.0%
fair +1151
Hooper by SUB
51.3%
fair -105
Hooper by DEC
22.2%
fair +350
Ramirez by KO/TKO
15.7%
fair +538
Ramirez by SUB
0.9%
fair +10533
Ramirez by DEC
1.8%
fair +5318

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R141.0%fair +144
Ends in R222.5%fair +344
Ends in R312.4%fair +707
Goes distance24.1%fair +315
How this fight plays out

The model makes Hooper a clear 82% favorite. Expect Hooper to chase the takedown (3.0/15 min at 36%) while Ramirez tries to keep it standing behind 33% takedown defense. Ramirez is most dangerous early — 6 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Hooper's most likely path is by submission (51%), and the fight goes the distance 24% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk. The live danger for Hooper: 63% of Ramirez's wins come by knockout and 60% of Hooper's losses have come the same way.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.