Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Terrance Mckinney vs King Green

9:25 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Terrance Mckinneyby KO/TKO68% to win · closed +100
Result: King Green by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
King Green
44% +125
Terrance Mckinney
56% -125
How it ends
Green by KO/TKO
28.4%
fair +252
Green by SUB
11.6%
fair +765
Green by DEC
4.4%
fair +2153
Mckinney by KO/TKO
32.2%
fair +211
Mckinney by SUB
15.2%
fair +560
Mckinney by DEC
8.3%
fair +1106

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R147.1%fair +112
Ends in R225.9%fair +286
Ends in R314.3%fair +602
Goes distance12.7%fair +686
How this fight plays out

The model makes Mckinney a narrow 56% favorite. Expect Mckinney to chase the takedown (2.7/15 min at 47%) while Green tries to keep it standing behind 67% takedown defense. Mckinney is most dangerous early — 6 of 6 tracked wins ended in the first round. Mckinney's most likely path is by KO/TKO (32%), and the fight goes the distance 13% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.