Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Wang Cong vs Tracy Cortez

6:40 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Wang Congby DEC56% to win · closed -115
Result: Wang Cong by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Tracy Cortez
30% +235
Wang Cong
70% -235
How it ends
Cortez by KO/TKO
1.6%
fair +5992
Cortez by SUB
3.9%
fair +2479
Cortez by DEC
24.3%
fair +311
Cong by KO/TKO
7.3%
fair +1269
Cong by SUB
7.6%
fair +1207
Cong by DEC
55.2%
fair -123

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R111.1%fair +805
Ends in R26.1%fair +1545
Ends in R33.3%fair +2891
Goes distance79.5%fair -388
How this fight plays out

The model makes Cong a clear 70% favorite. Expect Cortez to chase the takedown (2.0/15 min at 40%) while Cong tries to keep it standing behind 83% takedown defense. Cortez tends to settle in for the long haul — 10 of 12 tracked fights reached the judges. Cong's most likely path is on the scorecards (55%), and the fight goes the distance 80% of the time.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.