Norbert Növényi Jr. vs Theo Haig Prediction · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, Sep 22, 2026
Fight dataModel pick: Norbert Növényi Jr. (69%), locked before the start; Norbert Növényi Jr. won (graded a hit).
The model's call
Locked before the fightWhere a bout is priced, the win chance is the market's no-vig price.
- Result
- Norbert Növényi Jr.
- By decision in round 3
- Closing price
- -425
- Right at this confidence
- 66%
- Won 35 of 53 called at 60–70%
How it endsThe model's chance of each ending beside the books', round by round and by method.
The model's numbers here are recomputed from today's data; the pick locked before the fight is at the top.
The model's chance of each ending. The books haven't posted method or round prices for this bout yet, so there is nothing to set beside it. Tap a cell for its fair price.
The model's chance the fight is still going.
7-1 in the last 8. 7 of 7 wins inside the distance; the loss was a finish.
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9-1 in the last 10. 8 of 9 wins inside the distance; the loss went to the judges.
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2 of 18 of their tracked fights went the distance. For this one, the model gave 32% that it goes the distance. History, not a forecast.
How this fight plays outThe model's read of the matchup, in plain sentences from its numbers.
No price is posted for this fight, so the win chance is the model's own: Jr. clear at 79%. Expect Jr. to chase the takedown (3.7/15 min at 67%) while Haig tries to keep it standing behind 33% takedown defense. Jr. is most dangerous early — 8 of 11 tracked wins ended in the first round. Jr.'s most likely path is by KO/TKO (39%), and the fight goes the distance 32% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.
Where a bout is priced, the win chance is the sportsbooks' no-vig price. The model's own read (recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup) was tested on fights it was not tuned on and decides bouts nobody has priced. Model reads, not personalized advice. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.