Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Khaos Williams vs Roberto Soldić

8:00 PM ET· scheduled
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Thin market — no sportsbook has priced this fight. Every probability below is model-only, with nothing to check it against.
Model pickThe fight model's single most likely outcome: predicted winner, their most likely method of victory, and whether it ends inside the distance. Full probability breakdown below.
Khaos Williamsby KO/TKO~ Round 1
50% to win · 36% that it’s by KO/TKO · 60% it ends inside the distance, most likely around Round 1
Model fair price -100
Probetrics fight model
Roberto Soldić
50% +100
Khaos Williams
50% -100
How it ends
Soldić by KO/TKO
19.8%
fair +406
Soldić by SUB
2.4%
fair +4022
Soldić by DEC
27.8%
fair +260
Williams by KO/TKO
35.9%
fair +178
Williams by SUB
1.8%
fair +5369
Williams by DEC
12.3%
fair +716

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R132.4%fair +209
Ends in R217.8%fair +462
Ends in R39.8%fair +922
Goes distance40.1%fair +150
How this fight plays out

The model makes Williams a narrow 50% favorite. Williams is most dangerous early — 4 of 8 tracked wins ended in the first round. Williams's most likely path is by KO/TKO (36%), and the fight goes the distance 40% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.