Skip to main content
ProbetricsProbetrics

Johnny Walker vs Mick Parkin Prediction · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, Oct 3, 2026

Fight data

No winner call was locked for Mick Parkin vs Johnny Walker before the fight.

Final4:00 PM ETUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Heavyweight
Johnny Walker24-10#7
Mick Parkin10-1

The model's call

Locked before the fight
55%Johnny Walkerby KO/TKO✓ Hit

Where a bout is priced, the win chance is the market's no-vig price.

Result
Johnny Walker
By KO/TKO in round 1
Closing price
-110
Right at this confidence
62%
Won 41 of 66 called at 50–60%

How it endsThe model's chance of each ending beside the books', round by round and by method.

prices before the fightModel vs market

The model's numbers here are recomputed from today's data; the pick locked before the fight is at the top.

KO/TKOSUBDEC
Parkin
Walker

Big number: the model's chance of that ending. Small number under it: the books' no-vig chance (— where they don't price it). Tap a cell for fair and best prices.

Fight clock · still going
35% reach the final bell (books 39%)
0255075100R1R2R3o1.5o2.5dist.654535Ended R1 3:35

Solid: the model. Dashed: the books' map. ◇ = a separate two-way price for the same thing: over 1.5 rounds 63% · over 2.5 rounds 48% · goes the distance 41%.

Their tracked fights before this one
History
Parkin4 of 10 to the judges

9-1 in the last 10. 6 of 9 wins inside the distance; the loss went to the judges.

  • LDecisionvs Marcin TyburaMar 2025
  • WKO/TKO · R1vs Lukasz BrzeskiJul 2024
  • WDecisionvs Mohammed UsmanMar 2024
  • WDecisionUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. CraigNov 2023
  • WDecisionvs Jamal PoguesJul 2023
Walker3 of 10 to the judges

5-5 in the last 10. 4 of 5 wins inside the distance; 3 of 5 losses were finishes.

  • LDecisionvs Dominick ReyesApr 2026
  • WKO/TKO · R2vs Zhang MingyangAug 2025
  • LKO/TKO · R1vs Volkan OezdemirJun 2024
  • LKO/TKO · R2vs Magomed AnkalaevJan 2024
  • WDecisionvs Anthony SmithMay 2023

7 of 20 of their tracked fights went the distance. For this one, the model gave 35% that it goes the distance, the books 39%. History, not a forecast.

How this fight plays outThe model's read of the matchup, in plain sentences from its numbers.

No price is posted for this fight, so the win chance is the model's own: Parkin solid at 62%. Striking volume is near even (4.0 vs 4.6 per minute), so the fight likely turns on damage rather than output. Parkin is most dangerous early — 5 of 10 tracked wins ended in the first round. Parkin's most likely path is by KO/TKO (33%), and the fight goes the distance 35% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk.

Save imageSquare

Where a bout is priced, the win chance is the sportsbooks' no-vig price. The model's own read (recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup) was tested on fights it was not tuned on and decides bouts nobody has priced. Model reads, not personalized advice. Data and analytics only, not betting advice: any bet is your own decision, and we are not responsible for losses. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Sportsbook links are plain links, not affiliate links: no sportsbook pays us.