Probetrics — Sports Analytics
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Mayton Perea vs Zevan Hunt

7:00 PM ET· final
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Model pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Zevan Huntby SUB57% to win · closed +100
Result: Mayton Perea by KO/TKO in Round 1 — model missed ✗
Probetrics fight model
Zevan Hunt
50% +102
Mayton Perea
50% -102
How it ends
Hunt by KO/TKO
17.9%
fair +457
Hunt by SUB
22.0%
fair +355
Hunt by DEC
9.6%
fair +938
Perea by KO/TKO
42.0%
fair +138
Perea by SUB
3.4%
fair +2876
Perea by DEC
5.0%
fair +1883

“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.

When it ends
Ends in R146.1%fair +117
Ends in R225.3%fair +295
Ends in R313.9%fair +618
Goes distance14.7%fair +582
How this fight plays out

The model makes Perea a narrow 50% favorite. Perea is most dangerous early — 7 of 9 tracked wins ended in the first round. Perea's most likely path is by KO/TKO (42%), and the fight goes the distance 15% of the time — if it ends inside the distance, round 1 carries the most risk. The live danger for Perea: Hunt finishes 43% of wins by submission and Perea has been submitted in 67% of losses.

Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.

Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.