Tyshawn Williams vs Antonio Monteiro
7:00 PM ET· finalModel pick — locked before the fightThis fight is scored. The pick below is exactly what the model said pre-fight (also on the Results page) — it does not update with hindsight.
Tyshawn Williamsby DEC58% to win · closed -244
Result: Tyshawn Williams by DEC in Round 3 — model got the winner ✓
Probetrics fight model
Antonio Monteiro
42% +136
Tyshawn Williams
58% -136
How it ends
Monteiro by KO/TKO
3.4%
fair +2849
Monteiro by SUB
24.1%
fair +316
Monteiro by DEC
14.9%
fair +569
Williams by KO/TKO
13.9%
fair +620
Williams by SUB
4.5%
fair +2142
Williams by DEC
39.3%
fair +155
“Fair” is the model's no-vig price for that exact outcome; “book” is the best live sportsbook price for it (hover for the book). A green book price is longer than fair — value if you trust the model. Method prices update with each odds sync.
When it ends
Ends in R124.7%fair +304
Ends in R213.6%fair +635
Ends in R37.5%fair +1237
Goes distance54.2%fair -118
How this fight plays out
The model makes Williams a narrow 58% favorite. Monteiro tends to settle in for the long haul — 8 of 12 tracked fights reached the judges. Williams's most likely path is on the scorecards (39%), and the fight goes the distance 54% of the time.
Model read from recent-fight form, styles and physical matchup, tested on fights it was not tuned on. The method is not published. Experimental — size responsibly.
Informational only. Model reads, not personalized advice. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.