Senators vs Bruins Prediction — NHL, Oct 5, 2026

Model pick: Senators (51%), locked Oct 5; Senators won 4–1 (graded a hit).

Ottawa Senators

Boston Bruins

4–1

Final

Win probability

OTT 51%

49% BOS

Ottawa Senators won, 4–1. The pick was Ottawa Senators at 51% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

OTT by 0.1

goals

OTT win probability

51%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

7 of 15

Too early to read: 15 graded at 50–55%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.