Flames vs Kraken Prediction — NHL, Oct 4, 2026

Model pick: Kraken (59%), locked Oct 4; Kraken won 6–1 (graded a hit).

Calgary Flames

Seattle Kraken

1–6

Final

Win probability

CGY 41%

59% SEA

Seattle Kraken won, 6–1. The pick was Seattle Kraken at 59% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

SEA by 0.5

goals

SEA win probability

59%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

4 of 11

Too early to read: 11 graded at 55–60%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.