Kings vs Avalanche Prediction — NHL, Sep 30, 2026

Model pick: Avalanche (64%), locked Sep 30; Avalanche won 8–4 (graded a hit).

Los Angeles Kings

Colorado Avalanche

4–8

Final

Win probability

LA 36%

64% COL

Colorado Avalanche won, 8–4. The pick was Colorado Avalanche at 64% — correct.

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Margin the probability implies

COL by 0.8

goals

COL win probability

64%

overtime and shootout included

Right at this confidence

5 of 8

Too early to read: 8 graded at 60–65%

Winner picks only; a game decided in overtime or a shootout counts like any other. Where books price a game, the win probability is the market's no-vig price; the team ratings decide games nobody has priced. The ratings alone were tested on games they were not tuned on, and every pick is locked before puck drop and graded after the final, in the public record. How the model is tested →

Model reads, not personalized advice. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.