UFC card picks · one-page cardCard and results, no picks →
Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 · 5 fights · graded: 4/5 winners, 3/5 exact
Development card — most of these fighters have little or no tracked tape, so the model prices them largely off career records and division priors. Picks here are locked and graded like any other card but are excluded from the public track record totals. Treat the probabilities as lower-confidence.
Main card
Patrick Rivera vs Adam Darby
Welterweight · 3 rds
Adam Darby64%by submission+165✗· ML -395· ends early 76% ✓
✓ WINNER HIT Result: Adam Darby by KO/TKO (R3)
Brandon Holmes vs Modestino Rodrigues
Middleweight · 3 rds
Modestino Rodrigues55%by KO/TKO+175✓· ML +153· ends early 84% ✓
✓ WINNER HIT Result: Modestino Rodrigues by KO/TKO (R1)
Liam McCracken vs Silvestre Sanchez
Lightweight · 3 rds
Silvestre Sanchez57%by KO/TKO+400✓· ML +112· ends early 67% ✓
✓ WINNER HIT Result: Silvestre Sanchez by KO/TKO (R3)
Gabriel Lourenço vs Charlie Cleveland
Heavyweight · 3 rds
Charlie Cleveland50%by KO/TKO-110✗· ML -204· ends early 86% ✓
✗ WINNER MISS Result: Gabriel Lourenço by KO/TKO (R1)
Adam Livingston vs Hunter Smith
Lightweight · 3 rds
Adam Livingston53%by decision+490✓· ML -183· ends early 52% ✗
✓ WINNER HIT Result: Adam Livingston by decision (R3)
Every pick above was locked while the fight was still upcoming — the same numbers shown on fight pages, graded on the Results page after the card. Informational only. 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.