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The Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) host the Celtics (56-26 in 2025–26) on Feb 17, 2027, 9:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
BOS offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · OKC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
OKC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BOS defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BOSOKC
Expected pace: about 100 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
BOS is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
BOSOKCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylen Brown's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 36.5 | 31.4 | 6.2 | 5.1 |
| Jayson Tatum | 34.1 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.6 |
| Derrick White | 32.8 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Payton Pritchard | 31.5 | 18.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| Neemias Queta | 27.0 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Sam Hauser | 25.3 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 24.4 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 21.2 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
BOS offenseper gameOKC defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
BOS offense vs OKC defenseOKC offense vs BOS defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
BOSForAgainst52% of BOS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BOS 2series4 OKC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | OKC 109 | BOS 119 | BOS+10 | +10 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | BOS 102 | OKC 104 | OKC+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | OKC 118 | BOS 112 | OKC+6 | +6 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BOS 92 | OKC 105 | OKC+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | OKC 100 | BOS 135 | BOS+35 | +35 |
| Jan 2, 2024 | BOS 123 | OKC 127 | OKC+4 | +4 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BOS56-26 · last 82 games | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 55.7#25 of 30 | 59.4#6 of 30 | 57.5 |
| Possessions per game | 98.0#30 of 30 | 102.6#17 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 50.1%#19 of 30 | 49.3%#27 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 117.2#2 of 30 | 116.0#6 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.