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The Lakers (53-29 in 2025–26) host the Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 26, 2027, 11:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
OKC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
LAL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · OKC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OKCLAL
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
OKCLALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Luka Doncic's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves | 36.8 | 20.1 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| Luka Doncic | 36.7 | 37.7 | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| LeBron James | 32.8 | 19.9 | 7.4 | 8.0 |
| Marcus Smart | 28.8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Deandre Ayton | 26.2 | 11.9 | 6.6 | 0.6 |
| Jake LaRavia | 24.8 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Rui Hachimura | 24.7 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Luke Kennard | 23.7 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
OKC offenseper gameLAL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
OKC offense vs LAL defenseLAL offense vs OKC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
LALForAgainst51% of LAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OKC 9series1 LAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | OKC 115 | LAL 110 | OKC+5 | +5 |
| May 9, 2026 | OKC 131 | LAL 108 | OKC+23 | +23 |
| May 7, 2026 | LAL 107 | OKC 125 | OKC+18 | +18 |
| May 5, 2026 | LAL 90 | OKC 108 | OKC+18 | +18 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | OKC 123 | LAL 87 | OKC+36 | +36 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | LAL 96 | OKC 139 | OKC+43 | +43 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | OKC 119 | LAL 110 | OKC+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | LAL 92 | OKC 121 | OKC+29 | +29 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | LAL 120 | OKC 136 | OKC+16 | +16 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | LAL 126 | OKC 99 | LAL+27 | +27 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | LAL53-29 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.3%#27 of 30 | 51.4%#1 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.1#30 of 30 | 113.7#12 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin | +11.1#1 of 30 | +1.8#14 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.9#1 of 30 | +1.7#14 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.