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The Grizzlies (25-57 in 2025–26) host the Mavericks (26-56 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · MEM defense in 2
MEM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DAL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DALMEM
Expected pace: about 105 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DALMEMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cooper Flagg's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 33.1 | 24.7 | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| P.J. Washington | 32.1 | 16.3 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Naji Marshall | 30.4 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Max Christie | 27.9 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Moussa Cisse | 26.0 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 24.2 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| Daniel Gafford | 22.0 | 13.3 | 7.1 | 1.3 |
| Brandon Williams | 21.6 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Okani | 36.2 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Rayan Rupert | 34.3 | 14.7 | 7.8 | 4.0 |
| Lucas Williamson | 32.0 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| Jahmai Mashack | 31.9 | 10.4 | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 30.5 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Adama Bal | 30.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Tyler Burton | 25.4 | 12.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| GG Jackson | 25.1 | 18.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
DAL offenseper gameMEM defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DAL offense vs MEM defenseMEM offense vs DAL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DALForAgainst51% of DAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
MEMForAgainst49% of MEM's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DAL 2series8 MEM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | DAL 120 | MEM 112 | DAL+8 | +8 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | MEM 124 | DAL 105 | MEM+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | MEM 102 | DAL 96 | MEM+6 | +6 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | DAL 104 | MEM 118 | MEM+14 | +14 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | DAL 106 | MEM 120 | MEM+14 | +14 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | DAL 97 | MEM 132 | MEM+35 | +35 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | MEM 122 | DAL 111 | MEM+11 | +11 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | DAL 104 | MEM 119 | MEM+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | MEM 116 | DAL 121 | DAL+5 | +5 |
| Oct 7, 2024 | MEM 121 | DAL 116 | MEM+5 | +5 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DAL26-56 · last 82 games | MEM25-57 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points against | 28.8#17 of 30 | 30.0#6 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 111.9#26 of 30 | 116.0#16 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.8#11 of 30 | 115.6#7 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Possessions per game | 105.1#4 of 30 | 104.4#7 of 30 | 102.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.