The Raptors (46-36 in 2025–26) host the Pistons (60-22 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027, 7:30 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DET offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TOR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
TOR offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DET defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jalen Duren's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins | 31.4 | 16.0 | 3.9 | 6.9 |
| Jalen Duren | 30.4 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 |
| Ausar Thompson | 27.5 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Duncan Robinson | 26.6 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Tobias Harris | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 24.3 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Cade Cunningham | 20.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Caris LeVert | 18.7 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 31.9 | 19.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| RJ Barrett | 30.3 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Scottie Barnes | 30.0 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 8.4 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 26.6 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Jamal Shead | 25.1 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 23.2 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21.7 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
From play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
52% of DET's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
49% of TOR's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | DET+11 | +11 | ||
| Mar 15, 2026 | TOR+11 | +11 | ||
| Feb 11, 2026 | DET+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | DET+12 | +12 | ||
| Jan 11, 2025 | DET+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | DET+2 | +2 | ||
| Nov 15, 2024 | DET+4 | +4 | ||
| Mar 13, 2024 | DET+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | DET+2 | +2 | ||
| Nov 19, 2023 | TOR+29 | +29 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DET60-22 · last 82 games | TOR46-36 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points for | 30.6#1 of 30 | 28.5#21 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 50.9%#8 of 30 | 50.2%#18 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.9#3 of 30 | +2.8#11 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Possessions per game | 102.9#15 of 30 | 101.6#21 of 30 | 102.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.