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The Pelicans (26-56 in 2025–26) host the Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 23, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
OKC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NOP defense in 0 · 2 even
NOP offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · OKC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OKCNOP
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
OKCNOPNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 36.3 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Saddiq Bey | 32.9 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| Zion Williamson | 30.3 | 19.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Dejounte Murray | 29.1 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 7.3 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 27.9 | 19.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Josh Oduro | 27.0 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Herbert Jones | 26.7 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Derik Queen | 24.0 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 |
OKC offenseper gameNOP defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
OKC offense vs NOP defenseNOP offense vs OKC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
NOPForAgainst49% of NOP's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OKC 10series0 NOP| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOP 95 | OKC 104 | OKC+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | OKC 126 | NOP 109 | OKC+17 | +17 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | NOP 106 | OKC 137 | OKC+31 | +31 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | OKC 115 | NOP 100 | OKC+15 | +15 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | NOP 101 | OKC 137 | OKC+36 | +36 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | OKC 119 | NOP 109 | OKC+10 | +10 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | NOP 88 | OKC 106 | OKC+18 | +18 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | OKC 97 | NOP 89 | OKC+8 | +8 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | OKC 106 | NOP 85 | OKC+21 | +21 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | NOP 92 | OKC 124 | OKC+32 | +32 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | NOP26-56 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 26.6#30 of 30 | 31.0#4 of 30 | 29.4 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.1#30 of 30 | 115.6#8 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +10.8#1 of 30 | −1.4#21 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.9#1 of 30 | −4.3#21 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.