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The Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) host the Pistons (60-22 in 2025–26) on Dec 22, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DET offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · OKC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
OKC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DET defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DETOKC
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
DETOKCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins | 31.4 | 16.0 | 3.9 | 6.9 |
| Jalen Duren | 30.4 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 |
| Ausar Thompson | 27.5 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Duncan Robinson | 26.6 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Tobias Harris | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 24.3 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Cade Cunningham | 20.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Caris LeVert | 18.7 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
DET offenseper gameOKC defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DET offense vs OKC defenseOKC offense vs DET defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DETForAgainst52% of DET's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DET 4series4 OKC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | DET 110 | OKC 114 | OKC+4 | +4 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | OKC 116 | DET 124 | DET+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | DET 103 | OKC 119 | OKC+16 | +16 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | OKC 113 | DET 107 | OKC+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | OKC 104 | DET 120 | DET+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2023 | DET 112 | OKC 124 | OKC+12 | +12 |
| Oct 19, 2023 | DET 118 | OKC 116 | DET+2 | +2 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | DET 128 | OKC 125 | DET+3 | +3 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DET60-22 · last 82 games | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 50.9%#8 of 30 | 49.3%#27 of 30 | 50.3% |
| 3rd quarter points for | 28.9#22 of 30 | 30.3#6 of 30 | 29.2 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.4#11 of 30 | 116.0#6 of 30 | 112.8 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.