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The Magic (45-37 in 2025–26) host the Kings (22-60 in 2025–26) on Dec 21, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
SAC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · ORL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
ORL offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SAC defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SACORL
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
SACORLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Paolo Banchero's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 33.9 | 14.1 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 32.7 | 18.5 | 8.6 | 1.9 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 30.5 | 15.7 | 9.3 | 1.7 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 30.0 | 14.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Russell Westbrook | 29.7 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 9.3 |
| Devin Carter | 28.5 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 28.4 | 18.7 | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| Malik Monk | 22.1 | 11.8 | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 33.9 | 22.2 | 7.6 | 5.9 |
| Desmond Bane | 30.7 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Jalen Suggs | 30.4 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 27.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 1.4 |
| Tristan da Silva | 26.3 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Franz Wagner | 21.3 | 17.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Jamal Cain | 20.0 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Jevon Carter | 19.9 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
SAC offenseper gameORL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
SAC offense vs ORL defenseORL offense vs SAC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
SACForAgainst49% of SAC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
ORLForAgainst54% of ORL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SAC 2series4 ORL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | SAC 117 | ORL 121 | ORL+4 | +4 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | ORL 131 | SAC 94 | ORL+37 | +37 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | SAC 91 | ORL 121 | ORL+30 | +30 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ORL 130 | SAC 111 | ORL+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | SAC 109 | ORL 107 | SAC+2 | +2 |
| Jan 3, 2024 | ORL 135 | SAC 138 | SAC+3 | +3 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SAC22-60 · last 82 games | ORL45-37 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points for | 27.7#28 of 30 | 29.5#7 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 118.4#3 of 30 | 111.3#18 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Points against | 121.0#4 of 30 | 115.1#18 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −9.8#28 of 30 | +0.6#17 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.