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The Hawks (46-36 in 2025–26) host the Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 20, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
OKC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ATL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ATL offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · OKC defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OKCATL
Expected pace: about 104 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
OKCATLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 35.0 | 20.3 | 9.8 | 7.0 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 33.8 | 24.6 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Dyson Daniels | 32.5 | 13.8 | 7.9 | 4.8 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 29.9 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.7 |
| CJ McCollum | 29.6 | 18.9 | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 21.3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| Jock Landale | 20.9 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 16.3 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 0.6 |
OKC offenseper gameATL defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
OKC offense vs ATL defenseATL offense vs OKC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
ATLForAgainst52% of ATL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OKC 6series1 ATL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | ATL 129 | OKC 140 | OKC+11 | +11 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OKC 117 | ATL 100 | OKC+17 | +17 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | OKC 135 | ATL 119 | OKC+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | ATL 104 | OKC 128 | OKC+24 | +24 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | ATL 99 | OKC 104 | OKC+5 | +5 |
| Jan 3, 2024 | OKC 138 | ATL 141 | ATL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023 | ATL 117 | OKC 126 | OKC+9 | +9 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | ATL46-36 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 107.9#29 of 30 | 116.0#13 of 30 | 115.6 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +10.8#1 of 30 | +3.8#13 of 30 | 0.0 |
| Possessions per game | 102.6#17 of 30 | 104.6#5 of 30 | 102.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.9#1 of 30 | +2.3#12 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.