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The Hornets (44-38 in 2025–26) host the Thunder (64-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
OKC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CHA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
CHA offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · OKC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OKCCHA
Expected pace: about 101 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
CHA is not among the softest third of defenses in any of these categories.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
OKCCHANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 31.7 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 6.4 |
| Chet Holmgren | 27.2 | 16.6 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Jalen Williams | 25.9 | 15.4 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 23.6 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 22.8 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Nikola Topic | 21.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Luguentz Dort | 21.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 20.3 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 3.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 30.6 | 18.5 | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Kon Knueppel | 29.5 | 15.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| LaMelo Ball | 29.3 | 22.7 | 4.8 | 7.1 |
| Miles Bridges | 28.0 | 15.3 | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| Moussa Diabate | 26.6 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 2.4 |
| Grant Williams | 20.2 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| Coby White | 19.6 | 17.5 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Sion James | 19.0 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
OKC offenseper gameCHA defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
OKC offense vs CHA defenseCHA offense vs OKC defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
OKCForAgainst50% of OKC's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
CHAForAgainst52% of CHA's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OKC 7series2 CHA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | CHA 124 | OKC 97 | CHA+27 | +27 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OKC 109 | CHA 96 | OKC+13 | +13 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | CHA 116 | OKC 122 | OKC+6 | +6 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | OKC 135 | CHA 114 | OKC+21 | +21 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | CHA 106 | OKC 141 | OKC+35 | +35 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | OKC 106 | CHA 94 | OKC+12 | +12 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | OKC 121 | CHA 118 | OKC+3 | +3 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CHA 106 | OKC 126 | OKC+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | OKC 115 | CHA 117 | CHA+2 | +2 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OKC64-18 · last 82 games | CHA44-38 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st quarter points against | 26.6#30 of 30 | 29.6#13 of 30 | 29.4 |
| 4th quarter points for | 27.9#13 of 30 | 25.9#29 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.1#30 of 30 | 110.9#21 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Possessions per game | 102.6#17 of 30 | 100.2#25 of 30 | 102.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.