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The Pacers (19-63 in 2025–26) host the Pistons (60-22 in 2025–26) on Dec 13, 2026, 5:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
DET offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · IND defense in 0
IND offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DET defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DETIND
Expected pace: about 103 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Pascal Siakam's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins | 31.4 | 16.0 | 3.9 | 6.9 |
| Jalen Duren | 30.4 | 22.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 |
| Ausar Thompson | 27.5 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Duncan Robinson | 26.6 | 13.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Tobias Harris | 25.5 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Kevin Huerter | 24.3 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Cade Cunningham | 20.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Caris LeVert | 18.7 | 8.0 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 33.0 | 16.0 | 2.8 | 12.0 |
| Pascal Siakam | 30.4 | 23.9 | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Ethan Thompson | 29.6 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 29.4 | 17.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Jarace Walker | 28.4 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Kobe Brown | 25.4 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Jalen Slawson | 24.4 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| Ivica Zubac | 24.3 | 13.0 | 7.3 | 2.0 |
DET offenseper gameIND defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
DET offense vs IND defenseIND offense vs DET defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
DETForAgainst52% of DET's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
INDForAgainst52% of IND's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DET 5series5 IND| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | DET 133 | IND 121 | DET+12 | +12 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | IND 78 | DET 121 | DET+43 | +43 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | DET 122 | IND 117 | DET+5 | +5 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | IND 112 | DET 127 | DET+15 | +15 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | DET 119 | IND 133 | IND+14 | +14 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | IND 111 | DET 100 | IND+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | DET 130 | IND 106 | DET+24 | +24 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | IND 115 | DET 109 | IND+6 | +6 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | IND 122 | DET 103 | IND+19 | +19 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | DET 115 | IND 129 | IND+14 | +14 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DET60-22 · last 82 games | IND19-63 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd quarter points for | 30.6#1 of 30 | 27.8#25 of 30 | 28.8 |
| 3rd quarter points against | 27.1#28 of 30 | 31.2#4 of 30 | 29.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.5#29 of 30 | 116.0#5 of 30 | 112.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +7.9#3 of 30 | −7.7#26 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.