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The Rockets (52-30 in 2025–26) host the Raptors (46-36 in 2025–26) on Dec 1, 2026, 8:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
TOR offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · HOU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
HOU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TOR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TORHOU
Expected pace: about 101 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
TORHOUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kevin Durant's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 31.9 | 19.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| RJ Barrett | 30.3 | 20.2 | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Scottie Barnes | 30.0 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 8.4 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 26.6 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Jamal Shead | 25.1 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 6.8 |
| Immanuel Quickley | 24.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 23.2 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21.7 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | 38.8 | 20.4 | 8.0 | 5.4 |
| Kevin Durant | 36.1 | 26.6 | 5.3 | 6.3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 36.1 | 17.1 | 7.1 | 2.1 |
| Alperen Sengun | 32.9 | 21.2 | 8.6 | 6.7 |
| Reed Sheppard | 27.1 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Tari Eason | 24.3 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 1.1 |
| Aaron Holiday | 15.9 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Josh Okogie | 12.1 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
TOR offenseper gameHOU defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
TOR offense vs HOU defenseHOU offense vs TOR defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
TORForAgainst49% of TOR's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
HOUForAgainst50% of HOU's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TOR 1series5 HOU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | TOR 99 | HOU 113 | HOU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | HOU 139 | TOR 121 | HOU+18 | +18 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | TOR 87 | HOU 94 | HOU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | HOU 114 | TOR 110 | HOU+4 | +4 |
| Feb 9, 2024 | HOU 104 | TOR 107 | TOR+3 | +3 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | TOR 106 | HOU 135 | HOU+29 | +29 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TOR46-36 · last 82 games | HOU52-30 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4th quarter points for | 26.4#27 of 30 | 27.4#15 of 30 | 27.7 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 50.2%#18 of 30 | 49.0%#29 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.9#15 of 30 | 115.1#9 of 30 | 112.8 |
| Possessions per game | 101.6#21 of 30 | 100.1#26 of 30 | 102.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.