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The Spurs (62-20 in 2025–26) host the Lakers (53-29 in 2025–26) on Nov 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
The current report, a live snapshot.
Times are when the report changed on our end, last 30 days.
LAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · SAS defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
SAS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAL defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 30 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LALSAS
Expected pace: about 102 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 30 teams, 1st = best.
Rank 1 allows the most. Each defense's last 17 games from box scores, against the average defense. Books already price matchups: this is where to look, not a bet.
LALSASNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Luka Doncic's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves | 36.8 | 20.1 | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| Luka Doncic | 36.7 | 37.7 | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| LeBron James | 32.8 | 19.9 | 7.4 | 8.0 |
| Marcus Smart | 28.8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Deandre Ayton | 26.2 | 11.9 | 6.6 | 0.6 |
| Jake LaRavia | 24.8 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Rui Hachimura | 24.7 | 11.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Luke Kennard | 23.7 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle | 30.6 | 17.0 | 6.6 | 9.3 |
| Devin Vassell | 29.8 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Victor Wembanyama | 28.6 | 27.8 | 13.0 | 3.8 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 28.6 | 16.4 | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Julian Champagnie | 27.1 | 10.9 | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Dylan Harper | 24.4 | 14.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| Keldon Johnson | 23.5 | 15.0 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Harrison Barnes | 21.8 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
LAL offenseper gameSAS defenseRank among 30 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
2025–26 · points a game by shot type · rank 1 = the most in the league · the tick on each bar is the league average
LAL offense vs SAS defenseSAS offense vs LAL defenseFrom play-by-play: transition = the first shot within 7 seconds of a defensive rebound, turnover or opponent score; putback = within 3 seconds of the team's own offensive rebound; the rest by the shot label (spot-up = the plain jump shot). Free throws from the box score. Hover a number for the league average. An approximation of play types, not tracking data.
LALForAgainst51% of LAL's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
SASForAgainst50% of SAS's points come in the first half, 50% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LAL 5series5 SAS| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | SAS 136 | LAL 108 | SAS+28 | +28 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LAL 91 | SAS 107 | SAS+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | SAS 132 | LAL 119 | SAS+13 | +13 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | SAS 116 | LAL 118 | LAL+2 | +2 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | SAS 109 | LAL 125 | LAL+16 | +16 |
| Jan 13, 2025 | SAS 126 | LAL 102 | SAS+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | LAL 119 | SAS 101 | LAL+18 | +18 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | LAL 120 | SAS 115 | LAL+5 | +5 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SAS 118 | LAL 123 | LAL+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | LAL 115 | SAS 129 | SAS+14 | +14 |
From box scores and play-by-play. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LAL53-29 · last 82 games | SAS62-20 · last 82 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 51.4%#1 of 30 | 49.9%#21 of 30 | 50.3% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.7#12 of 30 | 108.5#28 of 30 | 112.7 |
| 2nd quarter points for | 28.6#16 of 30 | 30.3#2 of 30 | 28.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.7#14 of 30 | +8.1#2 of 30 | 0.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 30 ranked teams, over each team's last 82 regular-season games (Oct 2025 – Apr 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.